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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+5.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+5.01vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.60+5.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+2.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+3.78vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-0.22vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.19-2.82vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-5.73vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-1.37vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.08vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-0.47vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-2.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.71-2.03vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.93vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.81-4.65vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.48-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Brown University2.048.5%1st Place
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7.01Boston College2.098.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.4%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College1.604.9%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.107.4%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.7%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston1.817.0%1st Place
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6.18Stanford University2.1910.4%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.4218.4%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University1.223.2%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.4%1st Place
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12.53Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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11.89George Washington University0.932.2%1st Place
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12.97Tufts University0.711.7%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Naval Academy1.183.5%1st Place
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12.35University of Pennsylvania0.812.4%1st Place
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13.5University of Vermont0.481.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.