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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+5.13vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.24+3.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+4.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.55vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02+0.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.56vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.14vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.20vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.58vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-7.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.85-7.42vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.73-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.07Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.44Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.14SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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10.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.06Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Paige Conlin | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 35.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.