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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.48vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.44vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+4.79vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-1.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.61vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+1.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-2.00vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-5.29vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.20-5.78vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.39vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.92vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.90-7.66vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.97-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.08Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.79Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.31Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.61Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Emily Billing | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 32.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.