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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.86vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+4.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+3.75vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+7.93vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+2.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-2.37vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.36vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-1.52vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.68vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.07vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-3.88vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.17vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-6.44vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.71-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.93SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.61Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.12Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.11Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Emily Billing | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 30.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.