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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+6.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+5.91vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+3.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+2.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.18+6.11vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+6.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.30vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+0.87vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-1.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-5.66vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.81+1.24vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.87vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.71-0.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-4.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-7.07vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.99-5.00vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-3.47vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Boston College2.097.5%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston1.817.0%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University2.1910.2%1st Place
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6.93Brown University2.048.9%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy1.183.2%1st Place
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12.36Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.3%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College1.605.2%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.105.9%1st Place
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4.34Yale University2.4219.2%1st Place
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12.24University of Pennsylvania0.812.1%1st Place
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10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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12.87Tufts University0.711.8%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.8%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island0.992.6%1st Place
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13.53University of Vermont0.481.4%1st Place
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11.87George Washington University0.932.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 21.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.