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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+6.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.09vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19+1.13vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.81+5.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+2.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-2.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-1.78vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.71+1.15vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-5.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-4.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-2.54vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-5.09vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.13-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Brown University2.047.5%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.4219.4%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.2%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.7%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University2.1911.3%1st Place
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7.14Boston College2.098.3%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania0.812.2%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College1.604.0%1st Place
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13.15Tufts University0.711.3%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston1.817.4%1st Place
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9.7Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
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13.46University of Vermont0.481.5%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University0.932.4%1st Place
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12.35Fordham University1.132.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 19.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 22.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.