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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+8.74vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+11.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+3.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24-0.25vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-0.88vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.73vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-4.27vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.33vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-7.80vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.17vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.94vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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5.61Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.67Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.06Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Paige Conlin | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 32.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Billing | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.