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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+8.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.03vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.52vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+2.62vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88+4.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-0.86vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-5.01vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-1.84vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-2.94vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.49vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-6.53vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.12vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.24-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.03College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.62Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.82SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.99Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.06Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.47Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Emily Billing | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Paige Conlin | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 31.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.