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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+5.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+5.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+4.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+0.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.18+6.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+3.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+3.13vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.81+2.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48+1.70vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93-1.39vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.19-8.08vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.60-5.86vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-6.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.13-4.72vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.71-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Boston College2.098.8%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston1.816.6%1st Place
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7.16Brown University2.047.4%1st Place
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4.34Yale University2.4217.8%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Naval Academy1.183.0%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.6%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.106.2%1st Place
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12.22University of Pennsylvania0.812.3%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.9%1st Place
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13.7University of Vermont0.481.2%1st Place
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11.61George Washington University0.932.7%1st Place
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5.92Stanford University2.1911.7%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College1.604.9%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.0%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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12.78Tufts University0.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 23.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.