← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.24+6.66vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+8.62vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.82+6.46vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.71+2.17vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.10-0.25vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.83-0.16vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.90+1.18vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.08vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.08vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.20-3.14vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.97-2.99vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.98-4.11vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.73-4.01vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.83-1.79vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.85-6.67vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.71-6.97vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.66University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
-
10.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
9.46Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.17Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
4.75Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
5.84Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
9.18University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.08U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.92University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
7.86College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.01Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.89Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
9.99Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
13.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.830.0%1st Place
-
9.33Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
10.03Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
13.0SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 6.8% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.4% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Christina Lewis | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 30.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.