← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+8.39vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.09+5.13vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.19+3.15vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.71+4.43vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.81+3.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania0.81+6.28vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy1.18+4.15vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.10-0.10vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.42-4.79vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.22-0.45vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.13+1.62vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.10vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.48+0.45vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University0.93-2.31vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.78vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.04-9.07vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island0.99-6.04vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University0.71-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.6%1st Place
-
7.13Boston College2.097.2%1st Place
-
6.15Stanford University2.1911.2%1st Place
-
8.43Dartmouth College1.715.9%1st Place
-
8.05College of Charleston1.815.7%1st Place
-
12.28University of Pennsylvania0.812.1%1st Place
-
11.15U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
-
7.9Harvard University2.106.8%1st Place
-
4.21Yale University2.4219.9%1st Place
-
9.55Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
-
12.62Fordham University1.131.6%1st Place
-
7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.5%1st Place
-
13.45University of Vermont0.481.6%1st Place
-
11.69George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
-
10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.1%1st Place
-
6.93Brown University2.047.6%1st Place
-
10.96University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
-
12.99Tufts University0.711.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.9% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 22.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.