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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+8.57vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.58vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.76vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.30vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+2.07vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.10vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.83+3.28vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.70vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-2.94vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.20-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.24-6.02vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.66vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.32vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-7.45vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.89Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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13.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.830.0%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.55Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.0SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Christina Lewis | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 30.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Liana Folger | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Paige Conlin | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.