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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+4.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+5.98vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.46vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+2.89vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.39vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-2.09vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.45vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.09vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-5.03vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-5.98vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.83-2.92vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.71-10.90vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.98Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.25Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.89Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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4.8Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.39University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.55Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.830.0%1st Place
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6.1Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.6% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Paige Conlin | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 26.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 28.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Liana Folger | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.