Race 11A

yale-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Sophie Fisher 9.9% 12.0% 9.9% 9.2% 9.4% 9.2% 8.6% 7.3% 5.2% 5.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Emma Tallman 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.6% 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 5.7% 5.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.7% 0.5%
bella casaretto 6.3% 5.2% 6.6% 6.8% 5.9% 7.0% 7.0% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 6.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Margaux Cowles 2.2% 2.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 3.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.7% 6.0% 7.6% 7.8% 10.1% 11.5% 13.2%
Carmen Cowles 18.8% 15.7% 13.4% 12.2% 9.7% 8.0% 5.8% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.7% 5.3% 6.9% 6.8% 6.6% 7.4% 6.2% 7.1% 6.2% 5.0% 5.2% 4.5% 1.7%
Caroline Sibilly 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 7.1% 8.5% 7.0% 7.8% 5.7% 4.9% 5.7% 4.1% 3.5% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Brooke Schmelz 6.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% 7.7% 6.0% 7.3% 6.4% 6.0% 5.0% 6.4% 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Kytalin Hendrickson 3.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.2% 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 6.8% 5.9%
Ava Farley 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 4.7% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 7.4% 7.1% 8.3% 7.3% 7.7% 8.5% 6.2%
Eva Ermlich 4.8% 5.1% 4.2% 3.8% 5.5% 5.9% 5.0% 6.6% 6.4% 6.3% 6.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.1% 6.5% 3.8% 3.3%
Avery Canavan 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 6.8% 9.1% 9.4% 10.9% 9.7%
Cordelia Burn 6.2% 6.9% 6.5% 7.3% 6.3% 7.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.1% 7.7% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 4.5% 5.2% 5.6% 8.8% 7.8% 11.6% 13.4% 17.5%
Brielle Willoughby 8.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.4% 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 5.8% 6.6% 5.2% 4.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Heather Kerns 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.2% 5.9% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.6% 5.6% 7.1% 6.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 6.9% 4.2% 3.3%
Audrey Commerford 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 9.7% 15.2% 23.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 2.8% 2.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.6% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 3.4% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.9% 9.9% 11.7% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.