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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+9.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+7.84vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+4.85vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.02vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+3.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+1.85vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.26vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-2.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.28vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.90vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-2.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.72vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.46vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.83-9.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.98-7.17vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.83-3.78vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.97-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.84Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.65Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.02Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.72Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.9SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.54Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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13.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.830.0%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liana Folger | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 24.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 27.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.