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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+8.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+5.35vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+5.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+3.11vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+3.02vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+2.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.84vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.93vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.19-4.06vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.81+0.46vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-3.06vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-1.35vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-4.28vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.71-4.01vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.5%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.046.5%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston1.815.8%1st Place
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7.11Boston College2.097.2%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.106.2%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College1.717.3%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.4220.1%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.5%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.1911.6%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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12.46University of Pennsylvania0.812.5%1st Place
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12.32Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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13.65University of Vermont0.481.4%1st Place
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11.72George Washington University0.932.7%1st Place
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12.99Tufts University0.711.9%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.1% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 23.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 16.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.