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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+7.64vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.65vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.68vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+5.98vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20+1.23vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.88vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-5.00vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.96vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.10-8.14vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.24-6.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.69vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-6.49vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.71-7.00vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.83-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.38Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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12.96SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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4.86Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.51Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.0Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% |
| Liana Folger | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 27.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.