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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+7.71vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.93vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.08vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.53vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+4.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.92vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-3.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-1.93vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-2.43vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.22vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.48vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-6.17vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.83-3.81vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.24-10.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.08Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.83Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.1Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.57Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.830.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 26.6% |
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Christina Lewis | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 27.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.