← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+10.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.16+7.93vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University1.90+4.39vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.79vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.07+5.50vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.83+5.18vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.55-2.26vs Predicted
-
8Boston College1.58+0.09vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.10-1.63vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.69vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.26-1.69vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.96-1.43vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.07-6.74vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.79-3.38vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.24-1.23vs Predicted
-
16Brown University1.33-7.30vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.18-6.54vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University0.71-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.6%1st Place
-
9.93University of Pennsylvania1.164.3%1st Place
-
7.39Harvard University1.907.6%1st Place
-
7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.6%1st Place
-
10.5George Washington University1.073.1%1st Place
-
11.18U. S. Naval Academy0.833.1%1st Place
-
4.74Yale University2.5518.2%1st Place
-
8.09Boston College1.586.0%1st Place
-
7.37Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
-
11.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
-
9.31College of Charleston1.265.1%1st Place
-
10.57Tufts University0.964.0%1st Place
-
6.26Stanford University2.0710.4%1st Place
-
10.62University of Rhode Island0.793.6%1st Place
-
13.77University of Vermont0.241.3%1st Place
-
8.7Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
-
10.46Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
-
11.61Fordham University0.713.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 30.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.