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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+5.62vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+3.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.66+4.79vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+8.12vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.51+8.00vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64+6.61vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.42vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.30+0.44vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.51-5.56vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.73+1.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.40vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.20+1.62vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University2.22+0.75vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine2.79-5.08vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.51-9.63vs Predicted
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19University of Washington2.10-4.00vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University1.51-2.23vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley2.12-6.34vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-4.10vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.60-5.49vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles1.50-6.25vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.05-4.03vs Predicted
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27Princeton University1.81-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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5.81Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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12.12California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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12.12California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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12.07Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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14.62Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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14.75Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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15.0University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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17.77Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.66University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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17.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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17.51University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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17.75University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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21.97University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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16.51Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 59.8% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.