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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+5.43vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+3.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+5.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.33+3.57vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+7.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.79+3.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.83+3.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.96-0.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.14vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.07-2.61vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.58-5.76vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.44vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.60vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.71-5.66vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.90-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Yale University2.5516.8%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.108.5%1st Place
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6.21Stanford University2.0710.4%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston1.264.7%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.336.3%1st Place
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13.89University of Vermont0.241.7%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island0.793.9%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Naval Academy0.832.7%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.8%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania1.164.7%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University0.963.9%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.3%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University1.073.8%1st Place
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8.24Boston College1.586.0%1st Place
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11.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.5%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University0.713.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University1.908.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 30.6% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.