← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands2.77+10.79vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.66+5.87vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.64+9.65vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine2.79+7.97vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University4.19+0.60vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.79vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.43vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University4.51-3.33vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.51-0.51vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.95-3.64vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.95-4.39vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.30-2.53vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon2.51+0.13vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.36vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University2.20-0.52vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.73-3.77vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-5.62vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University1.51-0.44vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-0.86vs Predicted
-
20University of Washington2.10-5.23vs Predicted
-
21Santa Clara University2.22-6.69vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles1.50-4.07vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego1.60-5.68vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis0.05-4.06vs Predicted
-
27Princeton University1.81-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.79California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
-
7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
-
12.65University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
-
11.97University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
-
5.6Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
11.79California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
-
9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
-
4.67Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
-
8.49Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.36Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.61College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.47Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
-
13.13University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
-
15.36University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
14.48Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
-
12.23Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
-
11.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
-
17.56Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
18.14University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
-
14.77University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
-
14.31Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
-
17.93University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
-
17.32University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
21.94University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
-
16.53Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 12.7% | 59.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.