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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+9.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.55vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+7.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.07+1.14vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+1.57vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.26+2.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.18vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+1.61vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07+0.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-2.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.83-0.42vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.96-2.30vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-6.63vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.79-4.44vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.99vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.71-5.37vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.24-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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4.64Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
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8.55Brown University1.336.4%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.7%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University2.0711.3%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University1.907.3%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston1.264.5%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.8%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.073.6%1st Place
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8.09Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Naval Academy0.832.2%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University0.964.3%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.108.5%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island0.793.4%1st Place
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10.01University of Pennsylvania1.164.2%1st Place
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11.63Fordham University0.712.8%1st Place
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13.56University of Vermont0.241.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Young | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.