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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+5.45vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+10.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.66+3.08vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19-0.11vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73+3.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.79+2.27vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.64+0.93vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University1.51+5.63vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.20+1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon2.51-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.80vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.51-8.55vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.55+0.18vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-4.61vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-1.77vs Predicted
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22University of Washington2.10-6.32vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.60-4.70vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles1.83-7.44vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.05-3.03vs Predicted
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27Princeton University1.81-10.01vs Predicted
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28Roger Williams University3.95-21.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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4.77Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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12.21Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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12.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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18.63Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.18Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.45Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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18.18Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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14.39Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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18.23University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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15.68University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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18.3University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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16.56University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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22.97University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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16.99Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 59.9% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.