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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+6.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+7.59vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.58+4.13vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+5.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+1.51vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.71+4.54vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.77vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-4.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-1.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24+0.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.83-2.77vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.96-4.34vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.53vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.26-7.64vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Dartmouth College2.108.3%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University2.0711.3%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island0.792.9%1st Place
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8.13Boston College1.586.2%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University1.073.8%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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11.54Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania1.164.2%1st Place
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4.73Yale University2.5515.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.2%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.7%1st Place
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13.93University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Naval Academy0.832.8%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University0.963.5%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston1.265.5%1st Place
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11.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 30.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.