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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+3.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.66+5.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+7.76vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+7.59vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+0.72vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon2.51+5.61vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.10+5.70vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.64+1.92vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.30-2.19vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University1.51+5.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.52vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.79-4.09vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.17vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.55+0.18vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-4.68vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles1.83-3.67vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-2.10vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego1.60-3.71vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis0.05-2.19vs Predicted
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26Princeton University1.81-9.02vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University2.20-11.97vs Predicted
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28Roger Williams University3.95-21.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.81Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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11.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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12.59Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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8.45Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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15.7University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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18.48Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.52University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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11.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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11.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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18.18Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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14.32Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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16.33University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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18.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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18.29University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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22.81University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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16.98Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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15.03Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 17.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 13.0% | 57.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.