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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+5.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.58+4.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+6.56vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+4.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.83+4.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.96+2.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.46vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-3.51vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-2.71vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.71-1.39vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.16-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.79-4.20vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.40vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.33-8.55vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.24-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Stanford University2.0710.6%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
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4.73Yale University2.5518.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College1.585.9%1st Place
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11.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.4%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University1.073.8%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Naval Academy0.833.1%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University0.963.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.107.5%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston1.264.6%1st Place
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11.61Fordham University0.712.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Pennsylvania1.164.4%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island0.792.9%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.335.9%1st Place
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13.53University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.