← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.33+7.80vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.07+4.31vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.55+1.72vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University0.71+7.63vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.26+4.42vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.90+1.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.82vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.10-0.61vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.79+1.84vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.96+0.68vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.58vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.13vs Predicted
-
13Boston College1.58-4.91vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.24-0.27vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy0.83-3.70vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.50vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.18-6.60vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.07-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.8Brown University1.336.1%1st Place
-
6.31Stanford University2.079.7%1st Place
-
4.72Yale University2.5517.9%1st Place
-
11.63Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
-
9.42College of Charleston1.264.9%1st Place
-
7.48Harvard University1.907.8%1st Place
-
9.82University of Pennsylvania1.164.8%1st Place
-
7.39Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island0.793.4%1st Place
-
10.68Tufts University0.964.0%1st Place
-
7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.3%1st Place
-
10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
-
8.09Boston College1.586.1%1st Place
-
13.73University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
-
11.3U. S. Naval Academy0.832.9%1st Place
-
11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.8%1st Place
-
10.4Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
-
10.6George Washington University1.073.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 29.8% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.