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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.66+6.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.76vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+9.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+6.82vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+0.77vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University1.51+11.64vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon2.51+5.60vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.19-3.31vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.45vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.64+1.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12+3.75vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine2.79-1.95vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.51-6.68vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University2.20-1.14vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.10-1.42vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+0.78vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.70vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-5.54vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego1.60-2.75vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University1.55-5.10vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis0.05-2.04vs Predicted
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26Princeton University1.81-9.06vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands2.77-14.55vs Predicted
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28Roger Williams University3.95-21.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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4.76Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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12.52Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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18.64Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.45California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Irvine2.790.0%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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14.86Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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15.58University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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18.78University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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16.3University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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14.46Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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18.25University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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17.9Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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22.96University of California at Davis0.050.0%1st Place
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16.94Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.45California State University Channel Islands2.770.0%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Carminati | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Cibit | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.