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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+7.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+4.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.07+5.12vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+6.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+0.52vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+1.31vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.25-3.20vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.08+13.35vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.91-4.01vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04+3.21vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.15+1.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+5.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine2.17-0.72vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.64+0.99vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.97-1.58vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University2.20-3.61vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.74-2.43vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-6.85vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.17-11.09vs Predicted
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22University of Washington1.69-6.26vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University0.77-3.56vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley0.59-3.71vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands0.08-2.65vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-3.55vs Predicted
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27California Poly Maritime Academy0.13-4.97vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis0.42-7.15vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.27-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.8College of Charleston4.250.1%1st Place
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22.35California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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5.99Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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14.21Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.68Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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18.51University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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15.99Texas A&M University at Galveston1.640.0%1st Place
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14.42University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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13.39Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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15.57Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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15.74University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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19.44Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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20.29University of California at Berkeley0.590.0%1st Place
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22.35California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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22.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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22.03California Poly Maritime Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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25.46University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 14.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Kovach | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Petter Flordal | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Collins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 59.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.