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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.25vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+9.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.48vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.08+18.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+8.65vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.15+7.09vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.07+1.75vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.26+0.08vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.25-4.61vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.82vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.91-5.58vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.81+2.93vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University2.20+0.02vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.64+1.55vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon1.97-1.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.17-3.02vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.74-1.66vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands0.08+4.14vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.69-3.54vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy0.13+2.11vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-9.10vs Predicted
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22Old Dominion University3.17-13.83vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.34vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley0.59-3.92vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University0.77-5.21vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-4.87vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis0.42-7.32vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.27-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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22.14California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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13.65Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.09Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.08Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.39College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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14.93Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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13.02Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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15.55Texas A&M University at Galveston1.640.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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15.34Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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22.14California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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22.11California Poly Maritime Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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17.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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20.08University of California at Berkeley0.590.0%1st Place
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19.79Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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22.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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20.68University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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25.43University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 17.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Kovach | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Collins | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Petter Flordal | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 15.2% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.