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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+5.35vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+4.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.39vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.07+0.36vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+3.42vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+0.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.83+2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24+3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.79-0.35vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.26-2.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.90vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.41vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.96-4.47vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.71-4.42vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.16-7.02vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Yale University2.5516.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University1.908.5%1st Place
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8.69Brown University1.335.0%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University2.079.2%1st Place
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10.42George Washington University1.073.4%1st Place
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8.22Boston College1.586.3%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Naval Academy0.832.9%1st Place
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13.82University of Vermont0.241.9%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island0.793.0%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston1.265.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.0%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University0.964.0%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University0.713.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Pennsylvania1.164.3%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 29.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.