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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.31+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.78vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.66-0.81vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19-1.16vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49+0.75vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49-0.44vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.73+0.39vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.42-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Wisconsin0.319.6%1st Place
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3.78University of Wisconsin0.7013.6%1st Place
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2.19Northwestern University1.6639.0%1st Place
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2.84Indiana University1.1922.9%1st Place
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5.75Purdue University-0.493.4%1st Place
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5.56Ohio State University-0.495.0%1st Place
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6.6Michigan Technological University-1.081.7%1st Place
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8.39University of Michigan-2.730.5%1st Place
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5.59Lake Forest College-0.424.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacqueline Ruggieri | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
Mary Castellini | 13.6% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Delaney Smith | 39.0% | 27.1% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Nithya Balachander | 22.9% | 25.3% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Nok In Chan | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 4.8% |
Molly Sheridan | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 3.6% |
Katherine Sorbie | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 32.2% | 11.3% |
Julia Pressman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 75.8% |
Lucia Marquez | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.