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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.25+3.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.04+6.28vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.07+4.72vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.91vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.17+2.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.57+3.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.81+6.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine2.17+3.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+7.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-0.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.54+3.40vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.15-0.94vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.26-7.20vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.08+6.38vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon1.97-2.79vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University0.77+1.81vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University2.20-5.98vs Predicted
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20University of Washington1.69-4.25vs Predicted
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22Fordham University2.04-8.42vs Predicted
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23Princeton University1.50-7.03vs Predicted
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24Texas A&M University at Galveston1.64-8.49vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.48vs Predicted
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26California Poly Maritime Academy0.13-3.94vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands0.08-4.62vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis0.42-7.12vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.27-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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15.05Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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18.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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16.4University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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13.06Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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22.38California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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19.81Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.02Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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13.58Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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15.97Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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15.51Texas A&M University at Galveston1.640.0%1st Place
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22.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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22.06California Poly Maritime Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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22.38California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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20.88University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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25.47University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ramming | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Kovach | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Collins | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 59.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.