← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Delaney Smith 39.2% 27.7% 16.7% 10.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Castellini 12.9% 14.5% 19.1% 17.2% 17.6% 11.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Nithya Balachander 22.7% 24.8% 21.1% 16.2% 8.5% 5.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Nok In Chan 3.7% 4.7% 8.2% 9.8% 13.8% 15.6% 22.1% 17.2% 5.1%
Katherine Sorbie 2.2% 3.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.3% 13.8% 18.8% 32.2% 11.7%
Molly Sheridan 4.0% 6.9% 7.0% 10.8% 15.2% 18.9% 18.1% 16.2% 2.9%
Julia Pressman 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 4.6% 11.2% 76.3%
Lucia Marquez 4.5% 6.2% 8.2% 10.7% 15.1% 16.4% 19.7% 15.8% 3.4%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 10.3% 11.5% 14.1% 17.8% 16.8% 14.5% 9.5% 5.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.