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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.77vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-0.15vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+1.76vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.08+1.60vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.73+1.45vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.42-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.31-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Northwestern University1.6639.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Wisconsin0.7012.9%1st Place
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2.85Indiana University1.1922.7%1st Place
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5.76Purdue University-0.493.7%1st Place
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6.6Michigan Technological University-1.082.2%1st Place
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5.54Ohio State University-0.494.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Michigan-2.730.4%1st Place
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5.52Lake Forest College-0.424.5%1st Place
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4.29University of Wisconsin0.3110.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Delaney Smith | 39.2% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Mary Castellini | 12.9% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Nithya Balachander | 22.7% | 24.8% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Nok In Chan | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 5.1% |
Katherine Sorbie | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 32.2% | 11.7% |
Molly Sheridan | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 2.9% |
Julia Pressman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 76.3% |
Lucia Marquez | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 3.4% |
Jacqueline Ruggieri | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.