Race 7B

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hunter Mumma 12.5% 13.2% 15.1% 12.9% 12.2% 12.8% 10.9% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Michael Sturges 13.7% 13.8% 12.4% 13.8% 11.3% 11.8% 10.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Ian Donahue 16.0% 16.9% 15.6% 11.9% 13.6% 9.4% 8.1% 5.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 11.4% 10.5% 11.1% 11.8% 12.6% 13.4% 11.0% 9.4% 6.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Adrian Law 14.7% 14.1% 14.3% 13.1% 9.8% 10.8% 10.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Steven Drapcho 13.6% 13.4% 12.4% 13.2% 12.2% 9.9% 10.1% 8.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Ruth Bodell 6.5% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 9.5% 9.8% 12.2% 15.8% 16.1% 8.5% 1.6%
Nick Waldo 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 7.6% 8.5% 10.6% 11.4% 13.8% 18.6% 10.7% 2.1%
Neil Forrester 4.4% 5.2% 4.0% 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 10.6% 16.1% 21.7% 12.8% 5.0%
Whit Durant 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 6.1% 12.2% 34.2% 34.7%
Stephanie Clement 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 6.9% 25.6% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.