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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.56+0.97vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19-1.02vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.42+0.52vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49-0.14vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Northwestern University1.6638.6%1st Place
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3.81University of Wisconsin0.7011.7%1st Place
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3.97University of Wisconsin0.5612.5%1st Place
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2.98Indiana University1.1921.4%1st Place
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5.52Lake Forest College-0.424.5%1st Place
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5.86Purdue University-0.493.2%1st Place
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6.65Michigan Technological University-1.082.0%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University-0.495.5%1st Place
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8.43University of Michigan-2.730.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Delaney Smith | 38.6% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Mary Castellini | 11.7% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Ellena Frumiento | 12.5% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
Nithya Balachander | 21.4% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Lucia Marquez | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% |
Nok In Chan | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 4.5% |
Katherine Sorbie | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 33.1% | 11.1% |
Molly Sheridan | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 3.8% |
Julia Pressman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.