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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+5.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+5.51vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.26+5.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.07+5.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.68vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+8.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+5.27vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.20+5.70vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57+2.71vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.15+4.02vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.04-1.66vs Predicted
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12Princeton University1.74+3.79vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.25-8.27vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.08+8.40vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-8.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.17-2.47vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.64-0.75vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.54-1.34vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.77+1.13vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.08+2.40vs Predicted
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21University of Washington1.69-4.80vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon1.97-7.56vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.92vs Predicted
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24Old Dominion University3.17-15.53vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.36vs Predicted
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26California Poly Maritime Academy0.13-3.77vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis0.42-6.94vs Predicted
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29University of California at San Diego-1.27-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.69Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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14.15Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.0%1st Place
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13.7Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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14.02Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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9.34Stanford University3.040.1%1st Place
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15.79Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.73College of Charleston4.250.2%1st Place
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22.4California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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16.25Texas A&M University at Galveston1.640.0%1st Place
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16.66University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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20.13Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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22.4California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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18.08University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University3.170.1%1st Place
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22.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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22.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.130.0%1st Place
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21.06University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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25.54University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ramming | 15.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Kovach | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Collins | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 60.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.