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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.56+0.82vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19-1.06vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49+0.83vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.42-0.37vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.44vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Northwestern University1.6638.4%1st Place
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3.84University of Wisconsin0.7012.8%1st Place
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3.82University of Wisconsin0.5613.2%1st Place
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2.94Indiana University1.1921.1%1st Place
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5.83Purdue University-0.493.8%1st Place
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5.63Lake Forest College-0.423.8%1st Place
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6.56Michigan Technological University-1.081.9%1st Place
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5.67Ohio State University-0.494.4%1st Place
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8.47University of Michigan-2.730.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Delaney Smith | 38.4% | 26.2% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Mary Castellini | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Ellena Frumiento | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
Nithya Balachander | 21.1% | 24.2% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Nok In Chan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 4.1% |
Lucia Marquez | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 3.5% |
Katherine Sorbie | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 31.4% | 10.8% |
Molly Sheridan | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 4.1% |
Julia Pressman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.