Race 1A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 29.6% 22.8% 18.3% 13.2% 7.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 10.5% 13.6% 13.9% 14.0% 12.4% 12.0% 7.9% 7.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Madeline Kennedy 17.0% 13.7% 16.6% 13.4% 12.7% 9.8% 9.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Craig Schifferns 11.2% 14.8% 13.2% 15.5% 11.1% 12.3% 8.5% 6.7% 3.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3%
William Edwards 2.4% 4.7% 4.4% 5.0% 8.0% 7.2% 9.2% 10.3% 12.4% 12.0% 13.4% 11.0%
Kelsey Rupp 10.3% 9.9% 11.5% 11.4% 13.7% 10.2% 12.1% 9.2% 5.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.3%
Ashley Vincent 4.5% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 11.6% 12.6% 10.6% 10.6% 7.7%
Tommy Pastalka 3.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 9.0% 9.4% 13.3% 12.5% 14.1% 11.6%
William Larsen 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 4.2% 5.7% 7.5% 8.8% 10.8% 14.5% 17.0% 23.5%
Tate Wester 3.8% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 5.5% 8.8% 8.7% 11.7% 12.8% 12.5% 13.5% 9.8%
Ian Reeves 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.8% 4.4% 5.3% 6.0% 8.7% 10.3% 13.4% 15.6% 27.4%
Matthew Nguyen 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 6.1% 6.5% 8.9% 9.2% 11.4% 12.5% 14.0% 11.5% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.