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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.79vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.66+0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.56+0.93vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+1.66vs Predicted
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5Indiana University1.19-2.02vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.08+0.62vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.49-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.73+0.47vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.49-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Wisconsin0.7012.9%1st Place
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2.14Northwestern University1.6641.8%1st Place
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3.93University of Wisconsin0.5610.8%1st Place
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5.66Lake Forest College-0.424.2%1st Place
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2.98Indiana University1.1920.3%1st Place
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6.62Michigan Technological University-1.082.2%1st Place
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5.57Ohio State University-0.494.2%1st Place
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8.47University of Michigan-2.730.2%1st Place
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5.86Purdue University-0.493.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Smith | 41.8% | 26.8% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 10.8% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Marquez | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 3.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 20.3% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 32.7% | 10.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 3.3% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 76.8% |
| Nok In Chan | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 19.6% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.