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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+1.81vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.82+1.50vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.99+5.05vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.50+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.44-0.15vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.62-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.93-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-3.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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4.63California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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9.05Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Hawaii1.440.0%1st Place
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7.39Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 29.6% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Craig Schifferns | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Reeves | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 24.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| William Edwards | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tate Wester | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 26.5% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.