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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.77vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-0.10vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+1.78vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.08+1.68vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.42-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.56-3.04vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Northwestern University1.6639.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Wisconsin0.7012.2%1st Place
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2.9Indiana University1.1922.9%1st Place
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5.78Purdue University-0.494.4%1st Place
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6.68Michigan Technological University-1.081.9%1st Place
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5.6Lake Forest College-0.423.9%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin0.5610.8%1st Place
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5.62Ohio State University-0.494.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Michigan-2.730.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 39.3% | 26.5% | 17.9% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.9% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 33.5% | 11.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 3.5% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 10.8% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 4.2% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 11.9% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.