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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.03+1.85vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.55-0.10vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.05vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.01+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.18+0.03vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.49-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.67-1.20vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-1.20-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Wisconsin0.3623.9%1st Place
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3.85University of Wisconsin-0.0315.1%1st Place
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2.9Northwestern University0.5525.2%1st Place
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4.05Michigan Technological University-0.1713.3%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.015.9%1st Place
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6.03University of Michigan-1.184.4%1st Place
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6.64Indiana University-1.493.6%1st Place
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6.8University of Illinois-1.673.2%1st Place
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5.98Lake Forest College-1.205.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 23.9% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Mandell | 15.1% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 25.2% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 13.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 10.3% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 14.4% |
| Delaynie Grove | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 26.3% |
| Grace Morby | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 31.1% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.