Race 4A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 28.4% 24.9% 17.5% 11.8% 8.6% 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Craig Schifferns 11.7% 13.1% 14.6% 13.6% 12.8% 11.4% 9.8% 5.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Gregory Dair 14.0% 9.6% 15.0% 11.8% 12.4% 12.5% 10.4% 7.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Kelsey Rupp 8.3% 11.7% 11.1% 14.3% 13.6% 10.4% 9.4% 8.4% 6.8% 3.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Tate Wester 2.9% 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 8.6% 8.7% 10.1% 12.1% 13.3% 12.7% 12.2%
Ashley Vincent 3.8% 3.3% 6.3% 5.4% 7.1% 8.3% 11.1% 10.6% 12.3% 13.5% 11.4% 6.9%
Tommy Pastalka 3.1% 4.8% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 8.0% 8.8% 11.5% 10.1% 12.5% 13.1% 12.6%
Madeline Kennedy 17.8% 16.5% 13.3% 14.5% 13.0% 8.3% 6.7% 5.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
William Edwards 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 6.4% 6.6% 9.8% 10.1% 12.1% 13.0% 11.2% 12.5% 8.1%
William Larsen 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.8% 7.6% 6.3% 11.1% 13.2% 17.3% 25.6%
Matthew Nguyen 3.4% 3.3% 3.8% 7.1% 6.2% 8.9% 8.3% 13.2% 11.5% 14.3% 10.4% 9.6%
Ian Reeves 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 2.5% 3.5% 5.3% 6.0% 8.8% 11.5% 12.9% 17.7% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.