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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.03+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+0.98vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.55-0.03vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.49+2.69vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.17-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.18-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.67-0.07vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-1.20-2.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.01-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Wisconsin-0.0314.4%1st Place
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2.98University of Wisconsin0.3624.2%1st Place
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2.97Northwestern University0.5523.8%1st Place
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6.69Indiana University-1.493.3%1st Place
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4.03Michigan Technological University-0.1715.7%1st Place
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5.98University of Michigan-1.185.4%1st Place
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6.93University of Illinois-1.672.8%1st Place
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5.94Lake Forest College-1.205.4%1st Place
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5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.015.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Mandell | 14.4% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 24.2% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 23.8% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Delaynie Grove | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 26.2% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 15.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 14.5% |
| Grace Morby | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 32.0% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 13.1% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.