Race 5A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 29.1% 24.7% 17.7% 11.9% 7.7% 4.5% 2.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Rupp 9.0% 11.0% 12.4% 13.7% 11.2% 12.7% 10.6% 7.2% 5.9% 3.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Madeline Kennedy 16.3% 15.4% 15.2% 15.1% 11.7% 9.9% 8.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Tate Wester 2.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.2% 6.6% 8.7% 10.3% 11.1% 11.6% 12.3% 13.6% 10.9%
Gregory Dair 13.1% 11.7% 13.1% 12.9% 12.7% 10.9% 9.1% 7.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5%
William Larsen 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 4.6% 5.3% 4.4% 7.5% 11.0% 12.7% 16.9% 28.1%
Tommy Pastalka 3.7% 3.8% 4.5% 4.5% 7.9% 6.7% 9.6% 10.1% 12.5% 12.8% 12.2% 11.7%
William Edwards 3.2% 4.3% 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.4% 9.6% 11.9% 11.4% 12.3% 11.0% 11.2%
Ian Reeves 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 6.4% 8.1% 8.5% 12.9% 12.5% 18.4% 20.6%
Craig Schifferns 12.6% 12.8% 14.0% 15.6% 11.3% 11.2% 8.3% 7.0% 3.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Matthew Nguyen 3.4% 3.2% 4.6% 5.4% 7.5% 8.8% 9.5% 11.2% 11.8% 13.6% 12.6% 8.4%
Ashley Vincent 3.7% 4.5% 4.1% 5.3% 8.6% 7.5% 10.0% 12.0% 12.1% 13.2% 11.0% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.