← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.04vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.55+0.90vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.01+2.69vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.10vs Predicted
-
5Lake Forest College-1.20+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University-1.49+0.63vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-1.18-1.04vs Predicted
-
8University of Illinois-1.67-1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin-0.03-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04University of Wisconsin0.3623.8%1st Place
-
2.9Northwestern University0.5525.0%1st Place
-
5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.016.4%1st Place
-
4.1Michigan Technological University-0.1713.5%1st Place
-
5.99Lake Forest College-1.204.9%1st Place
-
6.63Indiana University-1.493.7%1st Place
-
5.96University of Michigan-1.184.9%1st Place
-
6.86University of Illinois-1.672.5%1st Place
-
3.81University of Wisconsin-0.0315.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 23.8% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 25.0% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 10.8% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| Delaynie Grove | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 26.4% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Grace Morby | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 30.4% |
| Sydney Mandell | 15.3% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.