Race 6A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Madeline Kennedy 14.4% 16.5% 15.4% 14.4% 12.6% 11.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Craig Schifferns 11.5% 13.5% 15.4% 11.5% 13.7% 10.6% 9.4% 7.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Tate Wester 3.8% 3.2% 4.1% 5.4% 7.2% 5.4% 9.2% 10.8% 13.1% 12.9% 13.0% 11.9%
Kelsey Rupp 8.8% 10.9% 12.1% 14.0% 11.6% 11.6% 10.2% 7.7% 6.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.7%
Adam Pokras 30.8% 22.3% 17.2% 12.0% 7.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gregory Dair 11.3% 13.0% 13.1% 13.8% 12.0% 13.3% 8.3% 7.4% 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
William Larsen 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 8.6% 9.7% 13.6% 15.6% 25.9%
Tommy Pastalka 3.7% 4.4% 4.2% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 9.1% 9.2% 12.2% 11.7% 15.2% 12.0%
Ian Reeves 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 3.8% 6.4% 7.8% 7.7% 12.1% 14.0% 17.6% 21.6%
William Edwards 4.0% 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.9% 9.6% 11.7% 11.4% 12.7% 12.5% 9.8%
Matthew Nguyen 3.6% 2.9% 4.5% 6.7% 6.3% 8.4% 10.6% 11.5% 12.1% 12.5% 11.1% 9.8%
Ashley Vincent 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 5.6% 8.0% 8.4% 10.5% 11.5% 11.8% 12.2% 11.3% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.