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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.82+2.54vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57+0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.93+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.44-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.50-2.27vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.99-1.86vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.62-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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4.54University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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4.6California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Hawaii1.440.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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9.14Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 29.6% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Craig Schifferns | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gregory Dair | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.9% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| William Larsen | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 26.2% |
| Tate Wester | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
| William Edwards | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 25.4% |
| Ashley Vincent | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.