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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.03+2.84vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.55+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+0.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.01+1.71vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.49+1.71vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.17-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.18-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.67-1.12vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-1.20-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Wisconsin-0.0314.9%1st Place
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2.86Northwestern University0.5525.6%1st Place
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3.02University of Wisconsin0.3625.0%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.015.2%1st Place
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6.71Indiana University-1.493.2%1st Place
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4.07Michigan Technological University-0.1713.4%1st Place
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6.0University of Michigan-1.185.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Illinois-1.672.5%1st Place
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5.91Lake Forest College-1.205.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Mandell | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 25.6% | 24.0% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 25.0% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% |
| Delaynie Grove | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 26.5% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| Grace Morby | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 31.1% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.