← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 29.6% 22.0% 19.8% 12.4% 7.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Craig Schifferns 10.9% 14.3% 14.5% 13.4% 13.0% 11.3% 8.1% 7.1% 4.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Gregory Dair 12.6% 12.1% 14.2% 12.2% 11.8% 11.8% 10.5% 7.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Madeline Kennedy 14.9% 17.1% 15.8% 14.6% 11.7% 9.5% 8.0% 3.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Tommy Pastalka 2.6% 3.8% 4.1% 4.8% 6.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.3% 11.9% 13.2% 13.4% 13.3%
Kelsey Rupp 10.6% 10.5% 10.0% 11.9% 12.6% 12.5% 11.6% 9.2% 4.6% 5.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Matthew Nguyen 4.0% 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 7.5% 8.8% 10.0% 10.4% 13.2% 11.0% 11.5% 8.1%
William Larsen 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.4% 13.1% 18.2% 26.2%
Tate Wester 2.7% 3.4% 3.0% 5.6% 8.0% 7.3% 9.8% 12.0% 12.6% 12.8% 12.7% 10.1%
William Edwards 3.9% 3.7% 5.1% 5.3% 5.8% 7.6% 9.6% 11.9% 13.8% 11.7% 12.6% 9.0%
Ian Reeves 2.3% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 5.2% 6.1% 8.1% 11.3% 14.1% 16.7% 25.4%
Ashley Vincent 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 6.1% 6.9% 9.3% 8.8% 11.5% 12.2% 14.3% 11.3% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.