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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.55+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.03+0.85vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.49+2.60vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-1.20+0.96vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.17-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.67-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.18-2.04vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.01-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Northwestern University0.5524.4%1st Place
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3.04University of Wisconsin0.3624.9%1st Place
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3.85University of Wisconsin-0.0313.7%1st Place
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6.6Indiana University-1.493.3%1st Place
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5.96Lake Forest College-1.205.1%1st Place
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4.13Michigan Technological University-0.1714.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Illinois-1.672.6%1st Place
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5.96University of Michigan-1.185.7%1st Place
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.016.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 24.4% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 24.9% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Mandell | 13.7% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Delaynie Grove | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 23.5% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Grace Morby | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 32.7% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 14.5% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.