Race 8A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Pokras 29.0% 24.1% 18.9% 12.3% 6.8% 4.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tommy Pastalka 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 5.5% 7.1% 7.4% 10.2% 9.0% 13.1% 11.7% 16.4% 10.5%
Craig Schifferns 12.8% 14.3% 13.9% 10.9% 12.7% 11.8% 10.0% 7.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Kelsey Rupp 8.8% 11.0% 12.0% 13.9% 11.7% 11.9% 9.8% 8.6% 6.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Gregory Dair 11.8% 12.6% 14.0% 13.3% 12.6% 12.5% 7.8% 6.3% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Madeline Kennedy 15.6% 14.7% 15.4% 15.0% 12.5% 9.7% 8.0% 5.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Ian Reeves 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 5.5% 5.0% 6.6% 8.3% 10.7% 12.7% 16.1% 23.9%
Matthew Nguyen 3.9% 4.6% 4.6% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 10.3% 10.9% 11.2% 13.1% 12.1% 8.1%
Tate Wester 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 6.6% 6.7% 9.2% 9.4% 11.5% 12.7% 12.8% 11.5% 10.5%
William Edwards 4.2% 4.1% 3.8% 5.1% 6.1% 8.3% 9.7% 11.3% 12.1% 13.0% 11.5% 10.8%
William Larsen 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 4.8% 3.6% 5.9% 7.6% 11.4% 12.4% 17.7% 28.4%
Ashley Vincent 3.4% 4.6% 5.4% 5.4% 6.8% 8.6% 10.1% 12.1% 11.4% 14.8% 10.7% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.