Race 8B

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Steven Drapcho 11.3% 13.4% 13.7% 12.0% 11.9% 12.9% 11.4% 9.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Michael Sturges 14.1% 13.4% 13.4% 12.9% 11.6% 12.1% 10.2% 6.9% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Nick Waldo 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 14.0% 14.4% 20.8% 11.8% 3.1%
Ian Donahue 16.0% 15.4% 15.9% 13.4% 13.7% 10.5% 7.1% 4.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew Paige 12.9% 11.5% 11.6% 12.2% 12.4% 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Hunter Mumma 14.4% 15.2% 12.5% 15.0% 11.4% 10.6% 7.7% 8.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Neil Forrester 5.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.8% 7.9% 9.0% 11.6% 14.3% 21.5% 12.0% 2.8%
Ruth Bodell 5.9% 5.0% 6.7% 9.0% 9.0% 10.6% 12.3% 14.5% 15.6% 10.0% 1.4%
Adrian Law 13.7% 14.6% 13.9% 11.0% 11.6% 12.0% 9.8% 7.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Whit Durant 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 6.1% 12.1% 34.0% 35.0%
Stephanie Clement 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.1% 3.8% 6.2% 24.8% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.