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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont-0.34+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+1.01vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.51+2.47vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.97+2.44vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.97+1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.14-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.64-3.24vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.17-1.29vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.40-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Vermont-0.3422.9%1st Place
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3.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.2023.4%1st Place
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5.47McGill University-1.516.7%1st Place
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6.44Middlebury College-1.974.5%1st Place
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6.51Middlebury College-1.974.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Vermont-1.149.3%1st Place
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3.76University of Vermont-0.6417.7%1st Place
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6.71Middlebury College-2.173.2%1st Place
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5.14Williams College-1.408.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean Smith | 22.9% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cole Perra | 23.4% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Anderson | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.4% |
| Kate Adams | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 23.8% |
| Aengus Onken | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 25.8% |
| Cameron Luck | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Will Broseman | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Will Levy | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 27.6% |
| Max Harthorne | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.