Race 9A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Pokras 31.0% 23.0% 17.4% 14.9% 7.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Gregory Dair 12.5% 12.4% 15.2% 15.8% 13.8% 10.6% 10.4% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Tommy Pastalka 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 5.3% 6.9% 8.8% 9.8% 15.2% 15.2% 15.4% 12.5%
Kelsey Rupp 9.4% 10.4% 12.1% 11.9% 16.6% 13.8% 10.6% 7.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Craig Schifferns 13.6% 15.2% 13.5% 15.6% 13.8% 9.9% 9.1% 5.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Tate Wester 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 10.3% 11.6% 14.4% 15.0% 13.1% 11.1%
William Larsen 2.3% 3.9% 2.3% 2.9% 5.3% 6.4% 10.4% 10.5% 15.6% 17.6% 22.8%
Madeline Kennedy 17.1% 18.3% 17.8% 12.7% 11.9% 10.6% 7.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Ashley Vincent 4.1% 4.9% 4.9% 7.8% 6.9% 11.9% 11.3% 14.6% 13.7% 12.5% 7.4%
Ray Carley 1.8% 2.3% 3.4% 4.1% 4.2% 6.9% 8.4% 11.1% 13.8% 19.3% 24.7%
Ian Reeves 2.1% 2.4% 4.1% 3.2% 5.8% 6.8% 9.9% 11.9% 15.5% 18.1% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.