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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College-1.20+5.04vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.55+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.03-0.12vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.49+1.63vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.01-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.18-1.12vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.17-3.92vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.67-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Lake Forest College-1.205.2%1st Place
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2.86Northwestern University0.5525.4%1st Place
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3.04University of Wisconsin0.3624.6%1st Place
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3.88University of Wisconsin-0.0315.0%1st Place
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6.63Indiana University-1.493.9%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.016.2%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan-1.185.1%1st Place
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4.08Michigan Technological University-0.1711.8%1st Place
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6.93University of Illinois-1.672.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 25.4% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 24.6% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Mandell | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Delaynie Grove | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 27.1% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 9.6% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Grace Morby | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.