Race 10A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Pokras 29.3% 24.4% 19.4% 12.5% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Craig Schifferns 12.6% 14.0% 16.0% 14.3% 13.8% 10.3% 9.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Ian Reeves 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 4.7% 5.6% 8.6% 12.0% 14.1% 20.2% 23.6%
Gregory Dair 12.0% 11.8% 12.7% 17.0% 13.9% 11.2% 10.5% 6.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Madeline Kennedy 16.4% 17.7% 15.1% 15.6% 12.2% 11.0% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Tate Wester 3.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.5% 7.4% 10.6% 10.9% 13.5% 16.4% 13.2% 11.0%
William Larsen 2.1% 3.4% 3.1% 2.9% 4.6% 7.4% 10.4% 10.1% 14.5% 19.7% 21.8%
Ashley Vincent 4.8% 3.8% 6.2% 7.1% 10.2% 11.5% 11.7% 15.0% 12.7% 10.3% 6.7%
Ray Carley 2.5% 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 4.8% 5.7% 8.1% 11.1% 13.9% 19.9% 26.7%
Kelsey Rupp 11.4% 12.5% 12.6% 13.0% 13.2% 12.9% 10.5% 7.0% 5.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Tommy Pastalka 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 7.4% 9.6% 12.7% 14.0% 15.7% 13.0% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.