Race 11A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gregory Dair 11.1% 13.0% 15.4% 14.0% 14.6% 13.7% 8.1% 5.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Craig Schifferns 13.1% 14.8% 14.7% 14.1% 14.6% 10.4% 9.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Madeline Kennedy 15.6% 15.7% 15.6% 17.4% 12.3% 9.0% 8.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Tate Wester 2.7% 2.8% 5.4% 6.2% 6.8% 7.7% 11.9% 15.5% 14.2% 14.6% 12.2%
Kelsey Rupp 10.8% 12.2% 12.1% 13.3% 13.4% 11.5% 11.4% 7.6% 5.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Adam Pokras 31.4% 23.6% 17.2% 11.7% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Ray Carley 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.4% 7.0% 8.3% 11.3% 15.4% 17.6% 24.1%
William Larsen 2.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 5.3% 9.3% 8.5% 11.4% 13.5% 17.7% 23.9%
Ian Reeves 2.9% 2.6% 3.2% 2.8% 4.1% 6.2% 8.9% 10.8% 15.5% 19.7% 23.3%
Ashley Vincent 4.4% 4.8% 6.1% 7.9% 7.8% 10.7% 12.2% 15.6% 12.6% 11.9% 6.0%
Tommy Pastalka 2.8% 5.3% 4.7% 6.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.6% 12.9% 15.1% 14.7% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.