Race 12A

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gregory Dair 11.1% 14.2% 13.5% 15.1% 15.3% 11.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Adam Pokras 33.4% 22.0% 19.1% 11.7% 7.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Craig Schifferns 11.9% 14.3% 14.4% 13.8% 13.6% 12.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Madeline Kennedy 15.8% 15.1% 16.4% 16.3% 13.5% 10.2% 6.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Kelsey Rupp 10.4% 12.2% 12.9% 12.8% 12.1% 13.2% 11.7% 8.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Ian Reeves 2.0% 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 9.0% 12.0% 14.9% 19.9% 22.3%
Tate Wester 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.8% 10.7% 12.1% 12.6% 15.7% 12.6% 9.5%
Ray Carley 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.8% 6.5% 8.2% 12.5% 15.0% 17.4% 25.0%
William Larsen 1.8% 3.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 5.2% 8.6% 11.0% 13.7% 19.7% 26.7%
Tommy Pastalka 3.1% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 7.4% 10.0% 12.0% 12.7% 15.5% 14.4% 10.2%
Ashley Vincent 3.8% 5.7% 5.2% 8.5% 9.9% 10.5% 11.7% 14.5% 14.2% 11.0% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.