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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.00+9.40vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+7.21vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.82vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-1.08vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+3.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.98vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.12-2.94vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.39-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.99vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine0.49-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.4University of California at Davis0.003.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Southern California0.907.6%1st Place
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4.43University of Southern California1.7116.4%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.4%1st Place
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4.63California Poly Maritime Academy1.6014.4%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Los Angeles1.3014.1%1st Place
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5.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.8%1st Place
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11.92Arizona State University-0.412.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Berkeley0.989.2%1st Place
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9.73Arizona State University0.743.6%1st Place
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12.4University of California at San Diego-0.581.8%1st Place
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11.7University of California at San Diego-0.152.4%1st Place
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10.06University of Hawaii0.123.1%1st Place
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12.53Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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13.27University of California at San Diego-0.700.8%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.1%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Berkeley-0.252.0%1st Place
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16.4University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Irvine0.494.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.4% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Will Cornell | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 27.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 40.9% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.