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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.82+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+0.49vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.99+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.44-1.51vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.62-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.93-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.89-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Hawaii2.820.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.35University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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7.27Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Hawaii1.440.0%1st Place
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6.08Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Schifferns | 16.8% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.1% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 11.7% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Pokras | 34.6% | 28.0% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.4% |
| Ian Reeves | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 20.1% |
| Tate Wester | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| William Larsen | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 24.1% |
| Ray Carley | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.