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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.29+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.95+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07-0.48vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.89+0.84vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.08+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-2.03vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.02-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.53University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.84Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.35California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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5.48University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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6.64Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 17.7% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| James Foster | 32.4% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 21.1% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.2% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 12.9% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 38.7% |
| John Olson | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 31.5% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.