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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+5.90vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.32vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.58vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.74+4.66vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.00+3.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.70+4.11vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.03vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.12-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.49-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.78vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+0.39vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+0.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.25-4.01vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.41-5.83vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.39-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9University of Southern California0.907.3%1st Place
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4.48University of Southern California1.7115.6%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.0%1st Place
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4.58California Poly Maritime Academy1.6016.2%1st Place
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9.66Arizona State University0.743.5%1st Place
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5.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.8%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Davis0.002.6%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Berkeley0.9810.5%1st Place
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13.11University of California at San Diego-0.701.4%1st Place
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11.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Hawaii0.123.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at San Diego-0.151.7%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Irvine0.494.3%1st Place
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12.22University of California at San Diego-0.582.1%1st Place
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15.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.1%1st Place
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16.4University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Berkeley-0.251.4%1st Place
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12.17Arizona State University-0.412.3%1st Place
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12.75Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 16.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Will Cornell | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 25.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 41.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.