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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.29-1.52vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.95-2.03vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.89+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.29+0.03vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.08-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.60-4.54vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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8.29California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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5.46University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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6.68Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Mallory Schluter | 14.6% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Foster | 31.8% | 26.8% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 23.5% | 22.8% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 25.6% | 29.2% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 40.3% |
| John Olson | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.