← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.29+1.53vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.57+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.89+3.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.95-0.99vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.07-0.53vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine1.35-0.07vs Predicted
-
7California State University Channel Islands0.08+1.37vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-2.08vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.02-4.35vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego1.60-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.53University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
-
3.66University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.95Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
3.01University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
-
4.47University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
-
5.93University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
-
8.37California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
-
7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.65Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Foster | 33.6% | 26.0% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 14.8% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 11.4% |
| Michael Hanson | 21.4% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 11.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 21.2% | 40.5% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 30.7% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% |
| John Olson | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.