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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.63vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.01vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.35+4.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.49+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.90-0.86vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+0.93vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39+2.96vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41+1.36vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.00-3.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.50vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.12-6.85vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.34vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Southern California1.7116.4%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.5%1st Place
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6.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.2010.7%1st Place
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4.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.6013.3%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Berkeley0.354.0%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Berkeley0.9811.2%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Irvine0.493.9%1st Place
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7.14University of Southern California0.907.6%1st Place
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9.93Arizona State University0.744.2%1st Place
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12.96Arizona State University-0.391.3%1st Place
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12.36Arizona State University-0.412.1%1st Place
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11.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.8%1st Place
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11.87University of California at San Diego-0.152.5%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Davis0.002.4%1st Place
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13.24University of California at San Diego-0.701.3%1st Place
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12.5University of California at San Diego-0.582.2%1st Place
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10.15University of Hawaii0.122.9%1st Place
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16.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Will Cornell | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 44.9% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 21.3% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.