Race 4B

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Hanson 24.0% 24.0% 17.2% 13.6% 10.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
James Foster 31.5% 26.1% 19.2% 12.7% 6.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hanne Nagatani 10.3% 9.5% 13.8% 13.4% 19.1% 13.8% 10.3% 6.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Margaret Okrasinski 2.1% 3.4% 5.0% 6.4% 8.4% 11.5% 14.2% 19.0% 18.0% 12.0%
Nicholas Weis 5.3% 5.9% 7.7% 9.1% 11.1% 13.5% 17.2% 14.5% 10.5% 5.2%
Mallory Schluter 16.5% 17.5% 16.4% 18.4% 12.9% 9.9% 4.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
John Olson 4.8% 6.2% 9.6% 11.8% 15.4% 16.4% 15.0% 10.9% 7.6% 2.3%
Sierra Marangola 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 7.5% 7.5% 14.0% 19.3% 39.8%
Emma Shaw 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 4.1% 3.6% 7.2% 10.2% 14.3% 23.5% 31.0%
Alex Waldron 2.9% 4.3% 5.8% 6.6% 9.2% 12.4% 15.8% 17.1% 16.9% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.