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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.95+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+2.65vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.89+3.97vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.29-1.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.35+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.60-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.57-3.36vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.08-0.77vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.02-4.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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6.97Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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2.49University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.23California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hanson | 24.3% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| James Foster | 31.9% | 26.8% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| John Olson | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 14.4% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 38.3% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 9.4% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 26.0% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.