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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.57vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+5.01vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.35+4.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.980.00vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+2.77vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-3.06vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.12+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.00-0.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.86vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.49-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-0.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.49vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-4.95vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.41-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.4%1st Place
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7.01University of Southern California0.908.1%1st Place
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6.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.2010.7%1st Place
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4.59University of Southern California1.7115.6%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Berkeley0.354.4%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley0.9810.4%1st Place
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9.77Arizona State University0.744.0%1st Place
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4.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.6013.4%1st Place
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10.31University of Hawaii0.122.8%1st Place
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12.11University of California at San Diego-0.151.8%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Davis0.002.5%1st Place
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12.86University of California at San Diego-0.581.6%1st Place
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11.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.4%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Irvine0.495.1%1st Place
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13.44University of California at San Diego-0.701.5%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.8%1st Place
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16.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
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13.05Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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12.11Arizona State University-0.412.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 26.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 43.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.