Race 9B

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adrian Law 12.2% 15.0% 13.7% 12.1% 14.4% 12.1% 9.3% 7.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Ruth Bodell 5.9% 4.7% 6.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.3% 12.7% 17.1% 16.2% 8.2% 2.4%
Matthew Paige 10.2% 11.4% 12.4% 11.3% 11.1% 12.8% 12.4% 8.8% 7.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Michael Sturges 12.3% 12.3% 12.0% 13.3% 12.8% 13.7% 8.7% 8.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Hunter Mumma 15.4% 13.5% 14.1% 12.8% 12.3% 9.9% 9.2% 6.6% 4.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Ian Donahue 17.9% 17.8% 15.5% 12.6% 10.8% 9.6% 6.6% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Steven Drapcho 15.0% 13.7% 14.6% 10.7% 12.8% 10.2% 10.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Neil Forrester 4.6% 4.4% 5.1% 8.0% 6.7% 9.6% 10.8% 13.7% 19.9% 14.2% 3.0%
Nick Waldo 4.8% 6.0% 3.9% 8.3% 6.2% 8.2% 13.1% 15.9% 20.0% 10.8% 2.8%
Stephanie Clement 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 3.5% 7.7% 21.6% 58.0%
Whit Durant 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 5.8% 10.1% 37.2% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.