Race 6B

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mallory Schluter 18.8% 15.6% 18.3% 14.9% 13.2% 9.2% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Michael Hanson 22.8% 23.2% 18.2% 16.1% 11.2% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Foster 30.9% 26.1% 18.2% 12.5% 7.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Margaret Okrasinski 2.2% 3.8% 4.1% 5.2% 8.9% 12.3% 14.8% 19.0% 17.4% 12.3%
Nicholas Weis 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 9.0% 9.8% 14.6% 17.2% 14.7% 10.7% 4.8%
John Olson 7.0% 6.3% 9.4% 11.6% 14.1% 15.1% 13.8% 13.6% 6.5% 2.6%
Hanne Nagatani 7.3% 11.6% 13.5% 17.7% 15.1% 14.8% 10.3% 6.4% 2.4% 0.9%
Sierra Marangola 0.6% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 5.3% 5.7% 8.6% 12.1% 21.3% 39.1%
Alex Waldron 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 6.8% 8.8% 13.8% 15.8% 17.0% 16.9% 8.9%
Emma Shaw 1.5% 1.5% 3.6% 3.2% 5.7% 6.6% 9.5% 13.5% 23.6% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.