← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.29+1.51vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.95+1.04vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.57+0.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.07+0.58vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.89+1.82vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine1.35-1.09vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands0.08+0.38vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego1.60-3.54vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-3.02vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University1.02-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
-
3.04University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
-
3.68University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
-
4.58University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.82Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
5.91University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
-
8.38California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.46University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.65Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Foster | 34.4% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 22.1% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 16.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 7.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 12.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 3.7% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 23.8% | 38.9% |
| John Olson | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 21.1% | 32.5% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.