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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.95+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.29-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57-1.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.89+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60-2.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-1.09vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.08-1.68vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Hawaii2.950.3%1st Place
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4.58University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.54University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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8.32California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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6.64Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hanson | 25.5% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| James Foster | 30.9% | 27.0% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Mallory Schluter | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 12.4% |
| John Olson | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 30.8% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 40.7% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.