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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+4.92vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+1.79vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+7.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.00+4.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.49+1.57vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.94vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.12+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.84vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.41+0.19vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-7.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.73vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.12vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.39-3.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.67vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.57vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.70-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Southern California1.7116.4%1st Place
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6.92University of Southern California0.907.6%1st Place
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4.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.6014.3%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.7%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Berkeley0.989.5%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Davis0.002.2%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Irvine0.495.0%1st Place
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9.61Arizona State University0.743.8%1st Place
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11.94University of California at San Diego-0.152.5%1st Place
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10.05University of Hawaii0.122.9%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.5%1st Place
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12.19Arizona State University-0.412.1%1st Place
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5.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.2010.5%1st Place
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12.27University of California at San Diego-0.581.4%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Berkeley-0.252.1%1st Place
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12.75Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.1%1st Place
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16.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.5%1st Place
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13.12University of California at San Diego-0.701.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Will Cornell | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Arin Bekem | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 26.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 39.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.