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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.29+1.66vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.89+5.54vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07-0.13vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.08+3.14vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.95-3.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.81-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.18-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.29-2.41vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Hawaii3.290.3%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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4.87University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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9.14California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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3.06University of Hawaii2.950.2%1st Place
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5.36Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.290.0%1st Place
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7.06Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Foster | 29.8% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Okrasinski | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Mallory Schluter | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 40.4% |
| Michael Hanson | 24.5% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Bailey | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Emma Shaw | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 27.6% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.