Race 10B

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Foster 30.0% 23.1% 18.9% 13.6% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Wooldridge 4.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.6% 9.2% 12.4% 12.1% 15.7% 13.1% 11.4% 6.8%
Margaret Okrasinski 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 5.2% 5.8% 8.5% 10.1% 14.5% 16.8% 16.7% 13.0%
Michael Hanson 19.5% 20.8% 18.4% 15.8% 11.8% 7.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Weis 4.8% 5.2% 6.6% 8.1% 8.9% 11.5% 13.6% 14.5% 13.4% 9.8% 3.6%
Peter Bailey 6.6% 7.3% 9.6% 10.8% 13.5% 15.5% 12.4% 10.1% 7.8% 5.2% 1.2%
Hanne Nagatani 10.8% 10.6% 11.6% 14.5% 14.7% 11.6% 11.7% 7.5% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Mallory Schluter 15.6% 18.6% 16.5% 14.0% 12.8% 9.4% 8.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Sierra Marangola 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 5.4% 8.5% 12.4% 19.2% 40.1%
Alex Waldron 3.3% 3.5% 5.8% 5.8% 7.3% 9.9% 13.5% 13.5% 15.9% 14.0% 7.5%
Emma Shaw 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 4.7% 6.0% 8.1% 10.3% 14.1% 20.9% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.