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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+5.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.15+8.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.25+8.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.96vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.60-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.12+2.96vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.92vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-3.04vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.71-5.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+5.31vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-2.40vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41-1.04vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.39-1.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.76vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.49-9.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.00-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75University of Southern California0.908.2%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.1%1st Place
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11.89University of California at San Diego-0.152.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Berkeley-0.251.6%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Berkeley0.988.8%1st Place
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4.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.6013.4%1st Place
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9.96University of Hawaii0.123.7%1st Place
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10.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.3%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.2010.9%1st Place
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4.37University of Southern California1.7115.8%1st Place
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16.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.5%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University0.743.8%1st Place
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11.96Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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12.52Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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12.34University of California at San Diego-0.582.4%1st Place
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14.44University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.8%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Irvine0.494.4%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Davis0.003.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Will Cornell | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Florence Duff | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Downey | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 38.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 15.7% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 21.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.