Race 11B

pj-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Wooldridge 3.1% 3.9% 4.3% 6.5% 8.6% 11.0% 14.7% 15.2% 15.5% 12.1% 5.1%
Margaret Okrasinski 3.3% 2.9% 3.4% 5.7% 7.2% 8.5% 11.7% 12.1% 15.7% 18.8% 10.7%
Mallory Schluter 14.7% 13.7% 17.1% 15.3% 14.2% 10.9% 6.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
James Foster 28.1% 26.2% 17.8% 13.2% 8.2% 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sierra Marangola 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 4.1% 6.1% 8.7% 11.8% 18.4% 40.1%
Peter Bailey 6.5% 8.2% 9.4% 12.0% 12.1% 15.2% 11.2% 10.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.3%
Michael Hanson 24.7% 21.6% 17.9% 13.5% 10.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Hanne Nagatani 9.6% 10.9% 13.7% 12.7% 13.5% 13.1% 10.8% 8.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.2%
Nicholas Weis 4.2% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 10.4% 11.8% 13.6% 14.1% 12.2% 10.1% 5.0%
Emma Shaw 1.7% 1.1% 3.2% 4.3% 3.2% 6.3% 7.4% 9.2% 15.5% 19.0% 29.1%
Alex Waldron 2.5% 4.2% 5.8% 6.5% 9.4% 9.2% 12.1% 14.4% 14.6% 13.8% 7.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.